How can the Pens win without Sid?

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Hey, sports Porchers, it's your
hockey, Jesus said.

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I'm back.
It's been a long three weeks

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since we've seen a hockey game,
but tonight we're going to

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finally get to see our first
hockey game back after the long

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and anticipated break of the
Olympics.

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Oh, man, unbelievable.
Just just fantastic the the the

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things that we were that that
was going on over the last three

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weeks.
How about both the men's and the

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women's both bringing home the
gold from Italy?

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I just boy, that hockey was just
absolutely incredible.

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The women's team outscored their
opponents 32 to 2 and still

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almost lost that gold medal
game.

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Canada gave them a run for their
money.

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No doubt about it.
Canada a worthy adversary, but

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the but the US women's Olympic
hockey team really had their

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number over in Milan Cortina,
and they brought home the gold.

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Good for them, especially good
for Erin Frankel.

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She just an amazing goalie.
I mean, to only give up two

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goals in in I think it was like
126 shots on goal.

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Incredible, absolutely
incredible feat.

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And you know, the women on the
offensive side got it done.

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Hillary Knight getting that goal
and of course, the golden gold.

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So one other thing regarding the
women, I do have to have a

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special shout out to Ava
McNaughton.

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She is the first, that's right,
the very first Pittsburgher to

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win gold in a Winter Olympics.
That's just an incredible feat.

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I mean, anytime you do something
for the first time, she's the

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first time ever to do it.
So congratulations as special

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congratulations to Ava Mcnaught
and she was interviewed today on

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Mark Madden.
If you haven't heard it, go back

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and listen to it, whether it's
on the iheart app or just on the

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radio.
I'm sure he'll be playing it

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again as this is gold medal week
for Mark on the radio.

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Love that guy.
Just an excellent, excellent

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interviewer, fantastic as far as
the men go.

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Hey, let's face it, they got
outplayed.

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OK, but doesn't matter if you
get outplayed if you got a

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goalie and Connor Hellebuck was
our goalie and he did it.

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He made it happen.
Good for him and the men bring

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home the gold.
You know, what are you going to

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say?
It's it gives me pride as a USA

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citizen to say that we won gold
in both women's and men's

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hockey.
You know what, I'm not going to

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bash Canada.
Why do it?

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Because they are great up in
Canada and without them, you

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know, we wouldn't have nearly
the hockey we had.

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I think those knockout games
were some of the best hockey

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I've seen in a while.
But those, those, those other

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games, not great hockey, just
too much, too much the, the, you

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know, too much levels between
the, the play between the

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players.
But loved every instance of it

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except got to talk about it
because we're the Pittsburgh

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Penguins.
Hey, by the way, I'm your hockey

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Jesus.
I'm on a sports porch.

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I do a sports show with my
buddies Chris and Mark on

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Mondays.
But I come to you after every

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single Pittsburgh Penguins game.
Today I'm coming to you before

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the Pittsburgh Penguins game
because it's been 3 weeks and

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there's some things we got to
catch up on.

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So I will be back tonight after
the Pittsburgh Penguins play the

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New Jersey Devils tonight for a
recap of tonight's game.

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So just so you know, I'm not I'm
double duting tonight, but I

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love it because there's so much
to cover.

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We got to talk about the Sid
hit.

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My goodness, you think you get
goodish out of the Philadelphia

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Flyers uniform and you send them
out to Anaheim.

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Everything's going to be good.
You put you put him on the ice

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against Sid and what does he do?
He takes out his MCL.

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Now, the weird thing about this
injury is it didn't seem like it

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was so bad cuz you know, Sid was
like, yeah, I might play in the

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semifinal.
I might play in the gold medal

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game.
And I don't think he was close

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to playing.
Honestly.

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I think there's something wrong
there clearly, because as soon

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as he got back to Pittsburgh,
they said he's out at least four

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weeks.
So we're going to have to talk

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about that.
We'll we'll talk about that a

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little bit more when we break
out the lineups for tonight.

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We're going to get to that a
little bit later.

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It's a big problem for the
Pittsburgh Penguins.

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I personally don't think they
should go out and try and grab

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somebody to replace him.
You cannot replace Sidney

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Crosby, OK?
You can only replace him with a

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team effort.
That's what it's going to have

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to happen.
We'll break that down a little

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bit more.
No news on the Geno contract.

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I'm a little surprised that
Dubis didn't announce something.

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They didn't announce that, you
know, maybe they were giving him

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a one year extension.
I don't know what that means,

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but it's still out there.
So I thought that would be I

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thought that that would fall out
of the fall out of the sky over

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the last three weeks, but it did
not.

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The Pittsburgh Penguins also
made a trade.

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They traded Brent cool act for
Sammy Gerard.

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Now this is kind of a one for
one trade.

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Avalanche wanted to dump
Gerard's salary little too much

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at 5 million a year.
Pittsburgh can absolutely take

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it on at something like
$45,000,000 in, you know, on

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space, on cap space.
So they can easily take on him.

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And you know what, Gerard's a
good guy, great puck mover.

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I think he's going to be playing
on the on the second line.

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We'll pull that up.
Like I said, when we look at the

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lineups tonight, good exit guy,
smooth with the skating and he

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signed through next year.
So it's not like they're just

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getting him for the this year.
Everybody knew we were going to

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get rid of Kulak.
The big knock on the Kulak, the

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big knock on the Kulak trade was
Kulak was playing great with

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Latang and you seem to make
Latang play a lot better.

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I don't know, we don't know.
All I know is Dubis with his

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trading has done fantastic
things.

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So I say keep at it Dubis and so
long Brent Kulak.

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Hope you don't win a cup with
Avalanche.

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Unless the Pittsburgh Penguins
aren't there, then I don't

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really care what else happened.
I think that's about it.

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Oh, the other thing they got was
a second round pick in that

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trade.
And right now, as it stands in

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the next 4 years, the Pittsburgh
Penguins have 34 draft picks, 20

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in the first 3 rounds.
And that's why he's stockpiling

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those picks.
Clearly he wants to go out and

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get more youth, and I think
that's exactly what that trade

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was about.
And they can afford it.

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And Gerard's a good player.
So let's see how he does

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tonight.
Let's see who he plays with and

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how that's going to happen.
So where did we last leave our

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Pittsburgh Penguins?
Well, our Pittsburgh Penguins,

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the last time we saw them, they
were winning seven out of nine

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games.
So that ain't bad at all.

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We'll take that every time,
right?

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And the Pittsburgh Penguins also
let me pull up my little

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spreadsheet here.
The Pittsburgh Penguins were

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here.
Let's let's share my screen.

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It'll just be easier this way.
The Pittsburgh Penguins were

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right here.
OK.

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So the Pittsburgh Penguins were
basically in the midst of a six

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game-winning streak.
Sorry about that.

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Six game-winning streak before
the Olympics.

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OK, you can see that.
The last one against Buffalo,

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their projected points here is
101 points.

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That's important.
I'm not going to show standings

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because I don't, I personally
don't like the standings because

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it's about how many points you
score at the end of the end of

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the year, which is going to get
you in the playoffs.

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Typically, if you score over
9596 points, you're absolutely

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going to be in the playoffs.
So I like to just project it

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out.
Now the projections are are

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difficult because you never know
who's going to win and lose.

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But what you can do is you can
see what they've done.

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So they were only two, two game
losing streak after that and the

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Penguins after that.
You know, they beat Buffalo and

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now we got the Olympics.
Here is the thing about what

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happens with the Pittsburgh
Penguins schedule now one of the

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hardest in the NHL.
OK, so here's here's post

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Olympics, right?
Post Olympics.

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Let's look at and let's see what
they got.

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So this is all going to be
without Sidney Crosby 100%.

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I did some projections here and
what I think the results are,

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they're in the blue.
You can see they play the

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Devils, Rangers, then they play
the Knights, then they're

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playing some Atlantic teams.
Haven't played traditionally

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good against the Atlantic teams
this year or the Western

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Conference teams.
So that could be a problem.

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But, you know, everybody's
saying if they go three and

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three in the first six, that's a
good sign.

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And the reason it's a good sign
is because you're not really

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losing any ground and you're,
you know, you're basically going

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through six games.
So if they do go 3 and 3,

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instead of projecting to 101
points, they're still projecting

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at 99 points right here.
That is still going to be a

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winner.
That's going to be a playoff

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berth.
But here's the problem.

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When the Pittsburgh Penguins,
when the Pittsburgh Penguins

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last kind of went back and
forth.

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Now this would be 3 losses in a
row.

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They tend to, they tend to do a
little bit better after three

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losses in a row or they meander
like up here.

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Look, here's they had, they had
three losses in a row up here

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earlier in the season and then
they kind of, you know, won one,

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lost one, and then they went on
a big win streak.

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You know, they went on a six
game win streak.

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So they tended the team's a lot
really streaky.

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I think there were only like 8
games of the, of the 56 that

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they played where they went back
and forth, you know, 11 lost

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one.
They're real streaky team.

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They, they won 6 twice.
They lost eight in a row way

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back here.
If you can remember back in,

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back in November, December lost
eight in a row.

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That was probably their worst
thing.

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That's what they have to stop
from doing.

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They can't lose eight in a row.
They can win one, lose 1, you

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know, win one, lose 1, win 3,
lose 2, lose 3, win 2.

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That's OK.
That'll that'll keep them in it

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for a while.
And that's kind of what I have

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them doing.
I think they're going to go on a

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little bit of a bad losing
streak here because in that

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eight game losing streak, all of
them were to Western Conference

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in Atlantic teams, OK.
And that's who they're not

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playing well against.
So after these first 5-6 games,

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that's who they play.
They play 12 games.

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And of those 12 games, and
that's around the time SIDS do

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the be back.
Of those 12 games, eight of them

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are either Western Conference
teams or Atlantic teams.

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And that's going to be a problem
for the Pittsburgh Penguins.

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And of the four that are left
after that, three of them are

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versus the Carolina Hurricanes
#1 in the metro.

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So that's why they've got a
murderer's row of a schedule

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coming up.
Here's what I did.

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I just kind of like sketched it
out.

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What I think.
I think that Sidney Crosby is

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going to be back somewhere here
around Tampa Bay.

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This is game 76.
This is April 2nd.

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So Sidney probably going to be
back.

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I have them going 8 and 12 now.
I don't like the loser points

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so, but we can throw in some
loser points.

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If they go 8 and 12, they'll
jump the whole way down to 93

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points, which is out of a
playoff spot most likely.

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But however, if they get some of
these losses to be overtime

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losses, they get some loser
points in here.

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Otls, Otls.
Let's say they get 3 overtime.

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They're still losses, but they
get a point.

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Now look at where they are.
They're right there, they're

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right on the they're right on
the market. 9595 points.

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I think that's really important
because if the if the Penguins

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can be around 92, the 9495
points and Sidney Crosby comes

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back and they can get a jolt,
they got he's still got a tough

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look.
They got to play Tampa.

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They got to play Florida twice.
New Jersey probably going to be

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out of by them.
Washington, who knows, But they

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play pretty well against
Washington back-to-back here and

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then they end the season at
Saint Louis.

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If they even, you know, I
basically have them winning 4,

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they go four and three.
If they go four and three,

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they're still going to be at 96.
They'll probably do better than

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that, to be honest with you.
So I think that's really

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important to look at the
schedule.

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I know you can look at the
standings all you want, but I to

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me, I just don't like that.
I just like to think about the

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points.
I like to think about what the

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Pittsburgh Penguins can do and
can't do.

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They got to stay away from long
losing streaks.

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They got to keep that two wins,
2 losses, three wins, 2 losses.

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You know, even if they lose four
in a row, come back and win two

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in a row, maybe you have one of
those losses being overtime loss

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or they're getting the loser
point out of it.

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That is going to be really
important for the Pittsburgh

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Penguins if they're going to
have a chance at have a chance

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at staying in this play offs.
Well, whilst Sidney Crosby is

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out.
The other thing they're going to

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have to figure out is what what
is their lineup going to look

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like?
Who's going to play where?

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And I actually personally love
the idea of Ben Kindle going up

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on the first line.
OK, I think that's really I

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think that's really important.
And so let's just do this right

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now.
Let's just look at their lineup

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because otherwise my screens
going to freeze.

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So here's the projected lineup
for tonight.

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They and this is probably going
to happen.

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This is probably what's going to
happen.

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Avery Hayes is going to be on
the first line.

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Rex is not necessarily a center.
He clearly plays on the wing

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with Sid.
That's going to be the big

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experiment for tonight.
If you're going to watch the

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game tonight and you should
watch every Pittsburgh Penguins

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game, that's what you want to
watch.

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Who's on the first line?
What matchups are they getting

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defensively?
Are they are they getting the

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number one defensive matchup or
they send in the number one

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defensive matchup against the
Malkin line?

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Chinnikov here had not been
practicing for a while.

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He is practicing and he is
projected to play tonight.

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That's a big, that's a big help
for the Pittsburgh Penguins.

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They haven't moved, they haven't
changed their third and fourth

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line.
So Kendall's still going to be

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with Mantha and Brazil,
Lizotte's going to be with Dewar

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and Achary.
And they've been able to roll 4

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lines pretty much the whole
time.

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So the only major change is they
bring up Avery Hayes.

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And you know what he did against
Buffalo?

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He played pretty good in his
first time up here, but he's

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going to be on the wing.
I don't know what's going to

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happen.
Here's the defensive pairings

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for tonight.
You can see they have Sandwich

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Yard right here playing with
Chris Latang.

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They're just plugging him right
in the cool X spot.

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That's probably probably the
right thing to do.

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Wotherspoon and Carlson, they
got to get that magic back.

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00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:32,800
Carlson and Latang are going to
have to move the puck a lot more

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with Crosby being out and what
they do with the puck, whether

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it's the human hand grenade
Carlson or whether it's the

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smooth skating Carlson that can
get good entries into the zone.

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That's going to probably be the
difference between a good a good

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start and a bad start.
Power plays really not that much

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00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:53,720
change.
You put Mantha up there instead

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of Crosby.
Clearly that's a that's a

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negative on the power play.
And the second power play

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00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:04,800
remains the same and the penalty
kill pretty much remains the

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same.
They got Connor Clifton in

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there, OK, They got Clifton in
there.

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That's no big deal.
And to me, that's that's what's

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going to happen with the
Pittsburgh Penguins.

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They are going to have to find a
way with all four lines to just

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make it happen.
And basically they got to stop

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the losing streaks before they
get going.

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Because once you start going
backwards like that, if they can

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get some, you know, energy,
that's what's going to take.

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That's what it's, that's all
it's going to take.

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00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:45,280
Because you can't play this game
without Sidney Crosby and

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replace him with one person.
They're going to try with Avery

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00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:50,320
Hayes, but not really.
They're not really going to do

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00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:54,360
with Avery Hayes because he's
not the guy that's, that's

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00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:56,400
absolutely, absolutely going to
do it.

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So that's it.
That's all I got for you.

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I, I hope you really enjoyed the
hockey.

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00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:07,000
The hockey's been great and the
hockey is back.

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00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:11,359
It's going to be unbelievable.
back-to-back to back games, 17

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00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:14,599
games in the month of March
alone.

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00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:17,079
I don't know how I'm going to do
it, to be honest with you.

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00:17:17,079 --> 00:17:20,040
I'm going to be on vacation.
I hear where I'm going to be.

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00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:22,400
It's going to be some spotty
Wi-Fi.

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00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:25,960
I might have to bring in a
relief pitcher here.

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00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:28,440
I'm hoping the counselor might
be able to fill in for me for

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00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:31,560
some of these games.
Either way, we'll figure it out

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00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:34,040
together.
And if you do want to figure it

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00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:37,160
out together with me, smash that
subscribe button, OK?

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00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:40,520
I'm going to be here after every
single Pittsburgh Penguins game,

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00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:43,480
and I'm just going to give it
like it is.

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00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:45,880
I'm just a fan.
I love to analyze the game

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00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:49,440
because I got an engineering
mind and that's what I do here

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00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:51,920
on the porch.
Hey, I'll catch you later

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00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:54,440
tonight.
Go have some dinner with your

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00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:58,000
wife, your family, and I'll meet
you back here around 9:30.

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Until then.